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Caterpillar Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

39.65%

decreased by 2.08%

1 Week

39.33%

decreased by 2.40%

1 Month

38.22%

decreased by 3.51%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:02 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 45% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 45% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1110
8.78***
αARCH0.1296
10.07***
βGARCH0.8149
84.51***
γleverage0.0587
2.45**

0.974

Persistence

26d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1110
8.78***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1296
10.07***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8149
84.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0587
2.45**

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days