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V-Lab

Caterpillar Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

51.54%

increased by 4.48%

1 Week

50.76%

increased by 3.70%

1 Month

48.03%

increased by 0.97%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 46% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1097
34.77***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1284
39.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8162
337.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0592
9.87***

Persistence:

0.974

Half-life:

26 days