V-Lab
Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
45.87%
decreased by 0.79%
1 Week
45.64%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Month
44.80%
decreased by 1.86%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0470 | 14.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0075 | 8.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9587 | 723.03*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0465 | 16.80*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
66 days
Other Caterpillar Inc Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equities