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V-Lab

Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

43.92%

decreased by 0.75%

1 Week

43.73%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Month

43.00%

decreased by 1.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:31 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0470
14.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0075
8.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9587
721.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0463
16.76***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

65 days