Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

37.00%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

36.93%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Month

36.65%

decreased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0480
3.70***
αARCH0.0078
2.23**
βGARCH0.9582
177.71***
γleverage0.0463
4.14***

0.989

Persistence

63d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0480
3.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0078
2.23**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9582
177.71***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0463
4.14***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

63 days