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V-Lab

Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026

1 Day

45.87%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

45.64%

decreased by 1.02%

1 Month

44.80%

decreased by 1.86%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Caterpillar Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0470
14.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0075
8.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9587
723.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0465
16.80***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

66 days