Skip to main content
V-Lab

AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

25.15%

decreased by 0.64%

1 Week

25.16%

decreased by 0.63%

1 Month

25.19%

decreased by 0.60%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0260
20.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0412
19.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9364
563.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0246
6.13***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days