V-Lab
AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
25.15%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
25.16%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Month
25.19%
decreased by 0.60%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 11:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0260 | 20.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0412 | 19.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9364 | 563.42*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0246 | 6.13*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
68 days
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