AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
48.86%
decreased by 0.91%
1 Week
48.56%
decreased by 1.21%
1 Month
47.40%
decreased by 2.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:38 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 80 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~80 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0233 | 4.92*** |
| αARCH | 0.0382 | 4.80*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9409 | 143.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.0245 | 1.62 |
0.991
Persistence80d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0233 | 4.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0382 | 4.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9409 | 143.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0245 | 1.62 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
80 days
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