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V-Lab

AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

22.56%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

22.62%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

22.85%

decreased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:01 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 68 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 68 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 68-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0261
5.09***
αARCH0.0413
4.97***
βGARCH0.9363
141.26***
γleverage0.0244
1.52

0.990

Persistence

68d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0261
5.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0413
4.97***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9363
141.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0244
1.52

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

68 days