AT&T Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
42.32%
decreased by 1.68%
1 Week
41.97%
decreased by 2.03%
1 Month
40.67%
decreased by 3.33%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0331 | 4.72*** |
| αARCH | 0.0658 | 10.68*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9207 | 143.59*** |
| γleverage | 0.2409 | 1.83* |
0.986
Persistence51d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0331 | 4.72*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0658 | 10.68*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9207 | 143.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2409 | 1.83* |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
51 days
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