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V-Lab

AT&T Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026

1 Day

42.32%

decreased by 1.68%

1 Week

41.97%

decreased by 2.03%

1 Month

40.67%

decreased by 3.33%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/14/2024

to

10/14/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 51 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 51 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 51-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0331
4.72***
αARCH0.0658
10.68***
βGARCH0.9207
143.59***
γleverage0.2409
1.83*

0.986

Persistence

51d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0331
4.72***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0658
10.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9207
143.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2409
1.83*

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

51 days