Ford Motor Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
27.67%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Week
28.03%
increased by 0.14%
1 Month
29.29%
increased by 1.40%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 45-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0843 | 3.98*** |
| αARCH | 0.0642 | 8.55*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9206 | 101.74*** |
| γleverage | 0.1738 | 0.83 |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeσ
AGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0843 | 3.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0642 | 8.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9206 | 101.74*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1738 | 0.83 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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