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Ford Motor Co AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

27.67%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

28.03%

increased by 0.14%

1 Month

29.29%

increased by 1.40%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 45-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0843
3.98***
αARCH0.0642
8.55***
βGARCH0.9206
101.74***
γleverage0.1738
0.83

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0843
3.98***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0642
8.55***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9206
101.74***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1738
0.83

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days