Ford Motor Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
28.39%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
28.67%
decreased by 0.22%
1 Month
29.68%
increased by 0.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 54 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 54 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 54-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0732 | 3.98*** |
| αARCH | 0.0502 | 5.24*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9297 | 114.27*** |
| γleverage | 0.0144 | 0.71 |
0.987
Persistence54d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0732 | 3.98*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0502 | 5.24*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9297 | 114.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0144 | 0.71 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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