V-Lab
Ford Motor Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
37.57%
increased by 1.56%
1 Week
37.58%
increased by 1.57%
1 Month
37.62%
increased by 1.61%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0726 | 15.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0497 | 20.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9301 | 459.77*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0150 | 2.95*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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