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Ford Motor Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026

1 Day

37.02%

increased by 0.51%

1 Week

37.05%

increased by 0.54%

1 Month

37.14%

increased by 0.63%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ford Motor Co GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 55 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 55 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 55-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0724
3.96***
αARCH0.0496
5.23***
βGARCH0.9303
115.26***
γleverage0.0150
0.74

0.987

Persistence

55d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0724
3.96***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0496
5.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9303
115.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0150
0.74

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

55 days