V-Lab
Ford Motor Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
31.85%
decreased by 0.49%
1 Week
32.02%
decreased by 0.32%
1 Month
32.63%
increased by 0.29%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 30% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0728 | 15.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0498 | 20.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9300 | 457.66*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0151 | 2.96*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
54 days
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