Ford Motor Co MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
28.41%
increased by 1.89%
1 Week
28.88%
increased by 2.36%
1 Month
30.48%
increased by 3.96%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 11:10 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 34 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 34 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 34-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1190 | 2.01** |
| αARCH | 0.1773 | 10.61*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8026 | 73.22*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1190 | 2.01** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1773 | 10.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8026 | 73.22*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
Other MEM Analyses on Equities