Ford Motor Co MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026
1 Day
27.95%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
28.44%
increased by 0.50%
1 Month
30.12%
increased by 2.18%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 35-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1184 | 2.01** |
| αARCH | 0.1768 | 10.60*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8033 | 73.40*** |
0.980
Persistence35d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1184 | 2.01** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1768 | 10.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8033 | 73.40*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
35 days
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