Intel Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
68.42%
increased by 13.71%
1 Week
68.26%
increased by 13.55%
1 Month
67.64%
increased by 12.93%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 09:21 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 117 trading days (~0.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~117 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0656 | 2.03** |
| αARCH | 0.1840 | 14.74*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8101 | 86.62*** |
0.994
Persistence117d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0656 | 2.03** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1840 | 14.74*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8101 | 86.62*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
117 days
Other MEM Analyses on Equities