Mondelez International Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
24.21%
increased by 1.50%
1 Week
23.95%
increased by 1.24%
1 Month
23.19%
increased by 0.48%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:19 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0925 | 2.87*** |
| αARCH | 0.1850 | 8.09*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7641 | 47.58*** |
0.949
Persistence13d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0925 | 2.87*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1850 | 8.09*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7641 | 47.58*** |
Persistence:
0.949
Half-life:
13 days
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