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Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

24.25%

decreased by 0.58%

1 Week

23.86%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

22.85%

decreased by 1.98%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1275
4.64***
αARCH0.0245
2.64***
βGARCH0.8433
38.02***
γleverage0.1213
3.25***

0.928

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1275
4.64***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0245
2.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8433
38.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1213
3.25***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days