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Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

18.12%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

18.54%

decreased by 0.18%

1 Month

19.61%

increased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 11:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1256
4.62***
αARCH0.0231
2.53**
βGARCH0.8456
38.61***
γleverage0.1211
3.27***

0.929

Persistence

9d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1256
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0231
2.53**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8456
38.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1211
3.27***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days