V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
22.20%
decreased by 1.08%
1 Week
22.06%
decreased by 1.22%
1 Month
21.70%
decreased by 1.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1278 | 18.50*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0211 | 9.41*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8438 | 152.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1260 | 13.51*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
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