V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
20.15%
decreased by 0.81%
1 Week
20.29%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Month
20.62%
decreased by 0.34%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1257 | 4.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.0233 | 2.54** |
| βGARCH | 0.8454 | 38.53*** |
| γleverage | 0.1209 | 3.27*** |
0.929
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1257 | 4.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0233 | 2.54** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8454 | 38.53*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1209 | 3.27*** |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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