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V-Lab

Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

19.51%

decreased by 0.78%

1 Week

19.74%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

20.31%

increased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1258
18.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0229
10.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8453
154.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1222
13.17***

Persistence:

0.929

Half-life:

9 days