V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
19.51%
decreased by 0.78%
1 Week
19.74%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Month
20.31%
increased by 0.02%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 24, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1258 | 18.49*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0229 | 10.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8453 | 154.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1222 | 13.17*** |
Persistence:
0.929
Half-life:
9 days
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