V-Lab
PMA Graphene Technology Group Inc GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
102.15%
increased by 4.65%
1 Week
108.16%
increased by 10.66%
1 Month
123.40%
increased by 25.90%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 22, 2024 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 12 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 12 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 12-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.77 |
| αARCH | 0.0503 | 0.87 |
| βGARCH | 0.8426 | 12.30*** |
| γleverage | 0.1008 | 0.61 |
0.943
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.77 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0503 | 0.87 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8426 | 12.30*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1008 | 0.61 |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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