Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

NVIDIA Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

34.75%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Week

35.69%

increased by 0.39%

1 Month

39.12%

increased by 3.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:50 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 145 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.995, shock half-life ~145 daysLeverage: Negative returns increase volatility 174% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1550
3.81***
αARCH0.0380
2.99***
βGARCH0.9243
88.00***
γleverage0.0660
2.83***

0.995

Persistence

145d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1550
3.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0380
2.99***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9243
88.00***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0660
2.83***

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

145 days