V-Lab
NVIDIA Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
40.83%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
41.54%
decreased by 0.11%
1 Month
44.20%
increased by 2.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 09:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 166 trading days (~0.7 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 172% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1445 | 14.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0369 | 11.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9272 | 353.09*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0634 | 10.77*** |
Persistence:
0.996
Half-life:
166 days
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