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V-Lab

NVIDIA Corp Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, July 22nd, 2026

1 Day

40.43%

decreased by 2.70%

1 Week

41.22%

decreased by 1.91%

1 Month

44.13%

increased by 1.00%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 21, 2026 at 09:30 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NVIDIA Corp AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 22, 1999 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 112 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 25% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1686
26.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1837
38.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7871
258.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0459
6.12***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

112 days