Mondelez International Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 14th, 2026
1 Day
19.87%
increased by 0.51%
1 Week
20.02%
increased by 0.66%
1 Month
20.45%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0916 | 7.65*** |
| αARCH | 0.1504 | 7.82*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7700 | 51.06*** |
| γleverage | 0.0582 | 1.70* |
0.950
Persistence13d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0916 | 7.65*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1504 | 7.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7700 | 51.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0582 | 1.70* |
Persistence:
0.950
Half-life:
13 days
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