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V-Lab
V-Lab

Ocugen Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

87.23%

decreased by 2.17%

1 Week

88.78%

decreased by 0.62%

1 Month

94.63%

increased by 5.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ocugen Inc AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2014 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 255 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~255 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6248
3.13***
αARCH0.1911
5.57***
βGARCH0.8343
30.33***
γleverage-0.0563
-1.17

0.997

Persistence

255d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6248
3.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1911
5.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8343
30.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0563
-1.17

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

255 days