Ocugen Inc Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
87.23%
decreased by 2.17%
1 Week
88.78%
decreased by 0.62%
1 Month
94.63%
increased by 5.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:41 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 3, 2014 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.997, volatility shocks have a half-life of 255 trading days (~1.0 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 0.997, shock half-life ~255 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6248 | 3.13*** |
| αARCH | 0.1911 | 5.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8343 | 30.33*** |
| γleverage | -0.0563 | -1.17 |
0.997
Persistence255d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6248 | 3.13*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1911 | 5.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8343 | 30.33*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0563 | -1.17 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
255 days
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on Equities