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Ocugen Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

87.35%

increased by 13.11%

1 Week

89.27%

increased by 15.03%

1 Month

94.99%

increased by 20.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Ocugen Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 3, 2014 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.65 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifev = 3.65 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run51.1655
1.26
αscore0.1278
6.61***
βpersistence0.9608
30.48***
νDF3.6525
3.28***

0.961

Persistence

17d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

51.1655
1.26
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1278
6.61***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9608
30.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6525
3.28***

Persistence:

0.961

Half-life:

17 days