V-Lab
AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
63.85%
increased by 0.94%
1 Week
69.32%
increased by 6.41%
1 Month
82.54%
increased by 19.63%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.50 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 3.50 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 42.1377 | 2.14** |
| αARCH | 0.1719 | 9.11*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9409 | 35.14*** |
| νDF | 3.5007 | 5.65*** |
0.941
Persistence11d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 42.1377 | 2.14** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1719 | 9.11*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9409 | 35.14*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.5007 | 5.65*** |
Persistence:
0.941
Half-life:
11 days
Other AIM ImmunoTech Inc Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities