AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
78.86%
decreased by 1.95%
1 Week
81.65%
increased by 0.84%
1 Month
88.83%
increased by 8.02%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 12, 1996 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 4.12 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 42.1690 | 2.37** |
| αscore | 0.1927 | 8.74*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9397 | 37.96*** |
| νDF | 4.1157 | 4.28*** |
0.940
Persistence11d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 42.1690 | 2.37** |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1927 | 8.74*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9397 | 37.96*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 4.1157 | 4.28*** |
Persistence:
0.940
Half-life:
11 days
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