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AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

78.86%

decreased by 1.95%

1 Week

81.65%

increased by 0.84%

1 Month

88.83%

increased by 8.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 1996 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.12 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 4.12 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run42.1690
2.37**
αscore0.1927
8.74***
βpersistence0.9397
37.96***
νDF4.1157
4.28***

0.940

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

42.1690
2.37**
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1927
8.74***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9397
37.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.1157
4.28***

Persistence:

0.940

Half-life:

11 days