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AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

63.85%

increased by 0.94%

1 Week

69.32%

increased by 6.41%

1 Month

82.54%

increased by 19.63%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:42 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 1996 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.50 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 3.50 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst42.1377
2.14**
αARCH0.1719
9.11***
βGARCH0.9409
35.14***
νDF3.5007
5.65***

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

42.1377
2.14**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1719
9.11***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9409
35.14***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5007
5.65***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days