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AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

106.04%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Week

105.72%

decreased by 0.85%

1 Month

104.81%

decreased by 1.76%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AIM ImmunoTech Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 12, 1996 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.51 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 3.51 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst42.1471
2.15**
αARCH0.1714
9.17***
βGARCH0.9414
35.68***
νDF3.5092
5.66***

0.941

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

42.1471
2.15**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1714
9.17***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9414
35.68***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.5092
5.66***

Persistence:

0.941

Half-life:

11 days