Virtuix Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
131.40%
decreased by 12.49%
1 Week
141.04%
decreased by 2.85%
1 Month
156.63%
increased by 12.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.25 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 3.25 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 112.1638 | 0.69 |
| αscore | 0.1505 | 1.59 |
| βpersistence | 0.8599 | 4.81*** |
| νDF | 3.2467 | 0.75 |
0.860
Persistence5d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 112.1638 | 0.69 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.1505 | 1.59 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.8599 | 4.81*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 3.2467 | 0.75 |
Persistence:
0.860
Half-life:
5 days
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