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Virtuix Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

131.40%

decreased by 12.49%

1 Week

141.04%

decreased by 2.85%

1 Month

156.63%

increased by 12.74%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:47 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Virtuix Holdings Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 27, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.25 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-lifev = 3.25 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run112.1638
0.69
αscore0.1505
1.59
βpersistence0.8599
4.81***
νDF3.2467
0.75

0.860

Persistence

5d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

112.1638
0.69
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.1505
1.59
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.8599
4.81***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.2467
0.75

Persistence:

0.860

Half-life:

5 days