V-Lab
Virtuix Holdings Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
214.63%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
224.25%
increased by 9.61%
1 Month
226.30%
increased by 11.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:11 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 27, 2026 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.4663 | 3.73*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1055 | 0.83 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=3
| γ1 | 139.9134 | 3.42*** |
| γ2 | -192.9176 | -2.98*** |
| γ3 | 111.0976 | 2.33** |
Persistence:
0.106
Half-life:
0 days
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