V-Lab
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
465.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
465.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
465.86%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 09:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 2 trading days.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3869 | 2.01** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6647 | 0.31 |
Spline Coefficients
K=8
| γ1 | 109.5345 | 0.49 |
| γ2 | 142.0289 | 0.44 |
| γ3 | -635.0101 | -2.11** |
| γ4 | 791.7672 | 2.26** |
| γ5 | -756.1132 | -2.95*** |
| γ6 | 626.2315 | 3.53*** |
| γ7 | -573.6453 | -3.26*** |
| γ8 | 950.5155 | 2.92*** |
Persistence:
0.665
Half-life:
2 days
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