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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

45.64%

decreased by 6.34%

1 Week

48.21%

decreased by 3.77%

1 Month

52.62%

increased by 0.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow36
αARCH0.0000
βGARCH0.6177
γleverage0.5000
λ₁tau intercept2.4739
λ₂forecast adj.0.0000
λ₃tau persistence0.8005

0.868

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6177
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.4739
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8005

Persistence:

0.868

Half-life:

5 days