Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
26.62%
decreased by 1.78%
1 Week
27.41%
decreased by 0.99%
1 Month
31.96%
increased by 3.56%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 51 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
| βGARCH | 0.8885 | 593.10*** |
| γleverage | 0.0699 | 25.89*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0227 | 11.32*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0006 | 46.36*** |
0.923
Persistence9d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.05 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8885 | 593.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0699 | 25.89*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.14 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0227 | 11.32*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0006 | 46.36*** |
Persistence:
0.923
Half-life:
9 days
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