V-Lab
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
45.64%
decreased by 6.34%
1 Week
48.21%
decreased by 3.77%
1 Month
52.62%
increased by 0.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 36 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | |
| βGARCH | 0.6177 | |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | |
| λ₁tau intercept | 2.4739 | |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0000 | |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.8005 |
0.868
Persistence5d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6177 | |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.4739 | |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8005 |
Persistence:
0.868
Half-life:
5 days
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