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Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

62.14%

decreased by 10.77%

1 Week

17,951.61%

increased by 17,878.70%

1 Month

1,366,639,674,530,196.00%

increased by 1,366,639,674,530,123.00%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 10, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.5015
27.92***
βGARCH0.4698
50.70***
γleverage-0.5000
-27.73***
λ₁tau intercept0.0000
0.01
λ₂forecast adj.0.9313
19.25***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
3.33***

0.721

Persistence

2d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.5015
27.92***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4698
50.70***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.5000
-27.73***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0000
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.9313
19.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
3.33***

Persistence:

0.721

Half-life:

2 days