V-Lab
Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
62.14%
1 Week
17,951.61%
1 Month
1,366,639,674,530,196.00%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:22 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 10, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 91 | |
| αARCH | 0.5015 | 27.92*** |
| βGARCH | 0.4698 | 50.70*** |
| γleverage | -0.5000 | -27.73*** |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.9313 | 19.25*** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 3.33*** |
0.721
Persistence2d
Half-lifeMF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 91 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5015 | 27.92*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.4698 | 50.70*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5000 | -27.73*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.9313 | 19.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 3.33*** |
Persistence:
0.721
Half-life:
2 days
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