V-Lab
Trulieve Cannabis Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
41.42%
increased by 0.04%
1 Week
254,357.08%
increased by 254,315.70%
1 Month
4,264,672,085,870,143,600,000.00%
increased by 4,264,672,085,870,143,600,000.00%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 02:35 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 18.65*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0444 | 0.30 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 1.0000 | 0.33 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.250
Half-life:
1 days
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