Trulieve Cannabis Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
47.52%
increased by 0.40%
1 Week
48.03%
increased by 0.91%
1 Month
48.80%
increased by 1.68%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 46 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.8928 | 0.00 |
| γleverage | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0688 | 2.51** |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9140 | 38.91*** |
0.893
Persistence6d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8928 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0688 | 2.51** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9140 | 38.91*** |
Persistence:
0.893
Half-life:
6 days
Other Trulieve Cannabis Corp Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities