Trulieve Cannabis Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
47.61%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Week
56.40%
increased by 6.36%
1 Month
71.62%
increased by 21.58%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Jul 10, 2026Boundary Parameters
Limited Data
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.5756 | 0.49 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6077 | 0.71 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.5756 | -0.61 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 28.2726 |
Persistence:
0.895
Half-life:
6 days
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