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V-Lab

Trulieve Cannabis Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

62.48%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Week

63.41%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Month

65.47%

increased by 1.64%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:24 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Trulieve Cannabis Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1076
0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8537
0.17
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1076
-0.03
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

18.2421

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days