V-Lab
Trulieve Cannabis Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
16.18%
increased by 0.06%
1 Week
16.28%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
16.67%
increased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 15, 2026 at 09:38 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.991, volatility shocks have a half-life of 76 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.991, shock half-life ~76 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0163 | 0.04 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9909 | 0.35 |
0.991
Persistence76d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0163 | 0.04 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9909 | 0.35 |
Persistence:
0.991
Half-life:
76 days
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