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V-Lab

Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

63.99%

increased by 0.03%

1 Week

64.00%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

64.03%

increased by 0.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:51 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.58 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 6.58 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run16.4249
0.02
αscore0.0007
0.00
βpersistence0.9381
0.00
νDF6.5794
0.00

0.938

Persistence

11d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

16.4249
0.02
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0007
0.00
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9381
0.00
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.5794
0.00

Persistence:

0.938

Half-life:

11 days