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V-Lab

Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

67.41%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Week

67.41%

unchanged at 0.00%

1 Month

67.41%

unchanged at 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 3, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2026 to Oct 2, 2026
Hessian SE

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.40 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 5.40 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst18.0309
0.42
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.9207
1.64
νDF5.4014
0.16

0.921

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

18.0309
0.42
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9207
1.64
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.4014
0.16

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days