Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
63.99%
increased by 0.03%
1 Week
64.00%
increased by 0.04%
1 Month
64.03%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 11:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 11 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 11 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.58 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 11-day half-lifev = 6.58 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 16.4249 | 0.02 |
| αscore | 0.0007 | 0.00 |
| βpersistence | 0.9381 | 0.00 |
| νDF | 6.5794 | 0.00 |
0.938
Persistence11d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 16.4249 | 0.02 |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0007 | 0.00 |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9381 | 0.00 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 6.5794 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.938
Half-life:
11 days
Other Trulieve Cannabis Corp Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities