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V-Lab

Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

62.06%

decreased by 0.30%

1 Week

62.72%

increased by 0.36%

1 Month

64.37%

increased by 2.01%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 30.75 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 30.75 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst17.6763
1.53
αARCH0.0385
0.11
βGARCH0.9258
1.18
νDF30.7457
0.00

0.926

Persistence

9d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

17.6763
1.53
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0385
0.11
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9258
1.18
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

30.7457
0.00

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days