V-Lab
Trulieve Cannabis Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026
1 Day
62.06%
decreased by 0.30%
1 Week
62.72%
increased by 0.36%
1 Month
64.37%
increased by 2.01%
Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 10, 2026 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 30.75 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 9-day half-lifev = 30.75 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 17.6763 | 1.53 |
| αARCH | 0.0385 | 0.11 |
| βGARCH | 0.9258 | 1.18 |
| νDF | 30.7457 | 0.00 |
0.926
Persistence9d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 17.6763 | 1.53 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0385 | 0.11 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9258 | 1.18 |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 30.7457 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.926
Half-life:
9 days
Other Trulieve Cannabis Corp Analyses
Other GAS-GARCH Student T Analyses on Equities