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Walt Disney Co/The GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

30.71%

decreased by 1.42%

1 Week

30.69%

decreased by 1.44%

1 Month

30.63%

decreased by 1.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.11 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.4994
4.71***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0589
37.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9916
546.96***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.1094
10.35***

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days