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V-Lab

Walt Disney Co/The APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

28.32%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Week

28.53%

decreased by 1.03%

1 Month

29.31%

decreased by 0.25%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Walt Disney Co/The APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 95% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.05 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0307
15.43***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0647
25.70***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9353
380.05***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3082
11.93***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.0493
19.45***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

54 days