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AT&T Inc GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026

1 Day

35.20%

increased by 0.88%

1 Week

35.10%

increased by 0.78%

1 Month

34.72%

increased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 10:42 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/30/2024

to

10/30/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AT&T Inc GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 93 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 6.10 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~93 daysv = 6.10 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run3.1399
1.07
αscore0.0688
9.00***
βpersistence0.9925
142.26***
νDF6.0957
2.04**

0.993

Persistence

93d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

3.1399
1.07
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0688
9.00***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9925
142.26***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

6.0957
2.04**

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

93 days