AT&T Inc MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026
1 Day
28.61%
increased by 9.25%
1 Week
28.58%
increased by 9.22%
1 Month
28.47%
increased by 9.11%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 02:14 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 44 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 44 days.
μ
MEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 44-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0476 | 2.49** |
| αARCH | 0.1800 | 12.85*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8043 | 71.35*** |
0.984
Persistence44d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0476 | 2.49** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1800 | 12.85*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8043 | 71.35*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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