V-Lab
AT&T Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 25th, 2026
1 Day
24.71%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
24.84%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Month
25.33%
decreased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 24, 2026 at 09:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 60% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 60% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0175 | 4.08*** |
| αARCH | 0.1319 | 10.20*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9863 | 368.29*** |
| γleverage | -0.0305 | -2.55** |
0.986
Persistence50d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0175 | 4.08*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1319 | 10.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9863 | 368.29*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0305 | -2.55** |
Persistence:
0.986
Half-life:
50 days
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