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McDonald's Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 12th, 2026

1 Day

22.11%

decreased by 0.10%

1 Week

22.24%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

22.73%

increased by 0.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 01:58 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/09/2024

to

10/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of McDonald's Corp EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 100% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0162
1.70*
αARCH0.1195
8.40***
βGARCH0.9846
165.15***
γleverage-0.0399
-3.04***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0162
1.70*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1195
8.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9846
165.15***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0399
-3.04***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days