V-Lab
McDonald's Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
24.07%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
24.15%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
24.45%
increased by 0.07%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0164 | 6.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1207 | 33.80*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9845 | 653.27*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0402 | -12.20*** |
Persistence:
0.984
Half-life:
44 days
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