V-Lab
RTX Corp EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026
1 Day
26.04%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Week
26.17%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
26.63%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:53 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0243 | 2.04** |
| αARCH | 0.1198 | 8.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9806 | 218.69*** |
| γleverage | -0.0928 | -7.17*** |
0.981
Persistence35d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0243 | 2.04** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1198 | 8.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9806 | 218.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0928 | -7.17*** |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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