V-Lab
TOP Kingwin Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
102.87%
increased by 3.90%
1 Week
107.21%
increased by 8.24%
1 Month
124.56%
increased by 25.59%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 02:20 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2023 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 31 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 31 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 31-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1236 | 0.65 |
| αARCH | 0.1475 | 1.59 |
| βGARCH | 0.9780 | 24.17*** |
| γleverage | 0.0421 | 0.48 |
0.978
Persistence31d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1236 | 0.65 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1475 | 1.59 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9780 | 24.17*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0421 | 0.48 |
Persistence:
0.978
Half-life:
31 days
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