V-Lab
TOP Kingwin Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
120.63%
decreased by 4.15%
1 Week
125.19%
increased by 0.41%
1 Month
142.90%
increased by 18.12%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 6, 2026 at 02:17 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 18, 2023 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 98% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1339 | 2.63*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1468 | 6.25*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9762 | 91.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0483 | 2.21** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
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