V-Lab
Apple Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
36.89%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
37.27%
increased by 0.21%
1 Month
38.72%
increased by 1.66%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0311 | 15.48*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1253 | 33.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9876 | 1,304.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0476 | -13.11*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
56 days
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