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V-Lab

Apple Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

36.89%

decreased by 0.17%

1 Week

37.27%

increased by 0.21%

1 Month

38.72%

increased by 1.66%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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graph of Apple Inc EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0311
15.48***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1253
33.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9876
1,304.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0476
-13.11***

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

56 days