Mondelez International Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026
1 Day
26.30%
decreased by 0.03%
1 Week
25.83%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
24.58%
decreased by 1.75%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 223% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 223% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0380 | 2.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.1555 | 6.23*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9433 | 71.91*** |
| γleverage | -0.0819 | -3.68*** |
0.943
Persistence12d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0380 | 2.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1555 | 6.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9433 | 71.91*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0819 | -3.68*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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