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Mondelez International Inc EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, October 28th, 2026

1 Day

26.30%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Week

25.83%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Month

24.58%

decreased by 1.75%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/27/2024

to

10/27/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 223% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 223% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0380
2.62***
αARCH0.1555
6.23***
βGARCH0.9433
71.91***
γleverage-0.0819
-3.68***

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0380
2.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1555
6.23***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9433
71.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0819
-3.68***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days