V-Lab
Mondelez International Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026
1 Day
18.65%
decreased by 0.04%
1 Week
19.01%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
19.88%
increased by 1.19%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 25, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1420 | 4.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.0976 | 5.57*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8211 | 28.74*** |
0.919
Persistence8d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1420 | 4.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0976 | 5.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8211 | 28.74*** |
Persistence:
0.919
Half-life:
8 days
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