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Mondelez International Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 28th, 2026

1 Day

18.65%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Week

19.01%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

19.88%

increased by 1.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 25, 2026 at 11:23 PM UTC

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graph of Mondelez International Inc GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.

σ

GARCH Model

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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1420
4.46***
αARCH0.0976
5.57***
βGARCH0.8211
28.74***

0.919

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1420
4.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0976
5.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8211
28.74***

Persistence:

0.919

Half-life:

8 days