V-Lab
Tesla Inc GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
55.74%
decreased by 0.84%
1 Week
55.76%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Month
55.82%
decreased by 0.76%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 29, 2010 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 64 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 64 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1372 | 13.19*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0306 | 16.98*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9586 | 423.42*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
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