V-Lab
Intel Corp GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026
1 Day
69.78%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Week
69.69%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Month
69.33%
decreased by 1.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:39 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 292 trading days (~1.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~292 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0207 | 2.38** |
| αARCH | 0.0312 | 5.44*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9665 | 153.14*** |
0.998
Persistence292d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0207 | 2.38** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0312 | 5.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9665 | 153.14*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
292 days
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