V-Lab
Intel Corp GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026
1 Day
70.44%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
70.35%
decreased by 0.89%
1 Month
69.97%
decreased by 1.27%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 10:58 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 289 trading days (~1.1 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~289 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0208 | 2.37** |
| αARCH | 0.0313 | 5.42*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9663 | 151.75*** |
0.998
Persistence289d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0208 | 2.37** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0313 | 5.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9663 | 151.75*** |
Persistence:
0.998
Half-life:
289 days
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