V-Lab
Procter & Gamble Co/The GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
20.23%
decreased by 0.36%
1 Week
20.24%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Month
20.31%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0206 | 16.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0575 | 35.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9307 | 494.03*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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