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Procter & Gamble Co/The AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 29th, 2026

1 Day

25.86%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Week

25.75%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Month

25.34%

decreased by 1.38%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/28/2024

to

10/28/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Procter & Gamble Co/The AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.45) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0175
2.25**
αARCH0.0689
10.69***
βGARCH0.9147
122.17***
γleverage0.4530
4.54***

0.984

Persistence

42d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0175
2.25**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0689
10.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9147
122.17***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4530
4.54***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days