V-Lab
Intel Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
61.07%
decreased by 1.37%
1 Week
60.95%
decreased by 1.49%
1 Month
60.47%
decreased by 1.97%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 148 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0360 | 2.32** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0429 | 5.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9525 | 113.69*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2709 | 0.92 |
Persistence:
0.995
Half-life:
148 days
Other AGARCH Analyses on Equities