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V-Lab

Intel Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

61.07%

decreased by 1.37%

1 Week

60.95%

decreased by 1.49%

1 Month

60.47%

decreased by 1.97%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 09:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Intel Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.995, volatility shocks have a half-life of 148 trading days (~0.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0360
2.32**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0429
5.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9525
113.69***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2709
0.92

Persistence:

0.995

Half-life:

148 days