PepsiCo Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026
1 Day
28.87%
decreased by 0.98%
1 Week
28.85%
decreased by 1.00%
1 Month
28.77%
decreased by 1.08%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0001 | 0.09 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0637 | 44.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9301 | 680.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5288 | 22.20*** |
Persistence:
0.994
Half-life:
113 days
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