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V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 2nd, 2026

1 Day

20.52%

decreased by 0.16%

1 Week

20.61%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Month

20.96%

increased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 10:54 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/01/2024

to

10/01/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 108 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.994, shock half-life ~108 daysAsymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0005
0.10
αARCH0.0638
11.19***
βGARCH0.9298
169.61***
γleverage0.5251
5.50***

0.994

Persistence

108d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0005
0.10
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0638
11.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9298
169.61***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5251
5.50***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

108 days