Skip to main content
V-Lab

PepsiCo Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

28.87%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

28.85%

decreased by 1.00%

1 Month

28.77%

decreased by 1.08%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of PepsiCo Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.994, volatility shocks have a half-life of 113 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Asymmetry: negative returns raise volatility more

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0001
0.09
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0637
44.79***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9301
680.92***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5288
22.20***

Persistence:

0.994

Half-life:

113 days