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V-Lab

Mondelez International Inc AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, July 16th, 2026

1 Day

24.69%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Week

24.16%

decreased by 2.22%

1 Month

22.88%

decreased by 3.50%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, July 15, 2026 at 09:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mondelez International Inc AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2001 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.60) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1198
17.54***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0969
27.66***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8163
141.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5964
16.07***

Persistence:

0.913

Half-life:

8 days