Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

News Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

23.02%

decreased by 1.01%

1 Week

24.33%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

26.59%

increased by 2.56%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4093
2.50**
αARCH0.1405
4.80***
βGARCH0.7290
12.48***
γleverage0.1908
0.81

0.869

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4093
2.50**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1405
4.80***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7290
12.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1908
0.81

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days