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News Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.04%

decreased by 0.20%

1 Week

25.28%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

26.00%

increased by 0.76%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 5.24 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 5.24 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωlong-run3.1058
1.53
αscore0.0870
4.07***
βpersistence0.9575
28.73***
νDF5.2360
0.98

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

long-run

Long-run variance given a price move

3.1058
1.53
α

score

Weight on the scaled score

0.0870
4.07***
β

persistence

Volatility persistence

0.9575
28.73***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

5.2360
0.98

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days