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News Corp GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 6th, 2026

1 Day

23.49%

decreased by 0.41%

1 Week

23.87%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

24.99%

increased by 1.09%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 5, 2026 at 09:32 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/05/2024

to

10/05/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of News Corp GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 19, 2013 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-lifev = 4.96 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst3.0951
1.38
αARCH0.0853
3.98***
βGARCH0.9594
27.83***
νDF4.9577
1.05

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

3.0951
1.38
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0853
3.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9594
27.83***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.9577
1.05

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days