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V-Lab
V-Lab

Inlif Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 5th, 2026

1 Day

450.50%

increased by 119.24%

1 Week

454.33%

increased by 123.07%

1 Month

465.42%

increased by 134.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 2, 2026 at 10:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/02/2024

to

10/02/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.13 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-lifev = 2.13 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst955.0395
0.62
αARCH0.2350
10.47***
βGARCH0.9518
13.45***
νDF2.1257
31.76***

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

955.0395
0.62
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2350
10.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9518
13.45***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.1257
31.76***

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days