Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Inlif Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 15th, 2026

1 Day

271.93%

increased by 80.16%

1 Week

284.31%

increased by 92.54%

1 Month

317.57%

increased by 125.80%

Analysis last updated: Monday, September 14, 2026 at 09:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 2.22 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-lifev = 2.22 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst580.0592
0.64
αARCH0.2504
9.72***
βGARCH0.9499
13.20***
νDF2.2222
18.34***

0.950

Persistence

13d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

580.0592
0.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2504
9.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9499
13.20***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.2222
18.34***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

13 days