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V-Lab
V-Lab

Inlif Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

High-persistence model: shocks decay very slowly, so the theoretical long-run value may not be practically meaningful

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

156.90%

decreased by 1.87%

1 Week

164.73%

increased by 5.96%

1 Month

192.92%

increased by 34.15%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:12 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Oct 16, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1386294 trading days (~5501.2 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~1386294 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.95*
αARCH0.2221
1.28
βGARCH0.6172
3.79***
γleverage0.3215
0.71

1.000

Persistence

1386294d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.95*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2221
1.28
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6172
3.79***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3215
0.71

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1386294 days