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V-Lab

Inlif Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

1,367.22%

increased by 318.02%

1 Week

1,822.09%

increased by 772.89%

1 Month

3,017.72%

increased by 1,968.52%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Inlif Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 1642 trading days (~6.5 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5588
2.89***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.7002
5.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.2994
2.21**
γi Spline Coefficients
K=10
γ1-240.3179
-1.04
γ2231.4938
0.80
γ349.2739
0.37
γ4-27.8995
-0.22
γ5-79.5286
-0.58
γ6137.4281
1.12
γ79.5463
0.11
γ8-291.7604
-2.24**
γ9422.8978
2.53**
γ10-299.1980
-2.61***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

1642 days