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V-Lab

Bitcoin Depot Inc Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

665.32%

decreased by 129.26%

1 Week

608.71%

decreased by 185.87%

1 Month

516.56%

decreased by 278.02%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 09:22 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin Depot Inc S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 2022 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1295
2.21**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1756
3.31***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6413
7.66***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=9
γ1-1.7078
-0.25
γ230.2596
2.19**
γ3-52.0715
-3.28***
γ427.4551
1.97**
γ5-5.8742
-0.59
γ64.3167
0.39
γ7-6.6306
-0.62
γ814.5783
1.88*
γ9-17.2689
-2.98***

Persistence:

0.817

Half-life:

3 days