Skip to main content
V-Lab

Bitcoin Depot Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

282.86%

decreased by 17.96%

1 Week

279.01%

decreased by 21.81%

1 Month

265.18%

decreased by 35.64%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:50 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Bitcoin Depot Inc MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 25, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1028
4.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8778
51.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0032
-0.11
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

10.0000
0.00
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9084
0.01

Persistence:

0.979

Half-life:

33 days