V-Lab
Bitcoin Depot Inc MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
282.86%
decreased by 17.96%
1 Week
279.01%
decreased by 21.81%
1 Month
265.18%
decreased by 35.64%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 01:50 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Feb 25, 2022 to Aug 21, 2026Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 33 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 33 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 126 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1028 | 4.77*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8778 | 51.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0032 | -0.11 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 10.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9084 | 0.01 |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
Other Bitcoin Depot Inc Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equities