Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026
1 Day
18.56%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
20.25%
increased by 1.35%
1 Month
23.00%
increased by 4.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0103 | 2.53** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6724 | 58.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3207 | 28.44*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0617 | 2.00** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1954 | 3.77*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7698 | 10.92*** |
Persistence:
0.843
Half-life:
4 days
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