V-Lab
Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026
1 Day
27.34%
increased by 7.48%
1 Week
26.67%
increased by 6.81%
1 Month
25.42%
increased by 5.56%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0144 | 3.35*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6490 | 53.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3368 | 28.07*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0699 | 2.06** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2051 | 3.78*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7538 | 10.01*** |
Persistence:
0.832
Half-life:
4 days
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