CBOE Volatility Index

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How volatility evolves over time

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

How returns affect tomorrow's illiquidity

Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
mwindow	46
αARCH	0.0228	1.28
βGARCH	0.6468	13.01***
γleverage	0.3209	5.38***
λ₁tau intercept	0.0601	1.60
λ₂forecast adj.	0.1835	3.26***
λ₃tau persistence	0.7824	11.17***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	46
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0228	1.28
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6468	13.01***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.3209	5.38***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0601	1.60
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.1835	3.26***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.7824	11.17***

V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

Volatility Forecast

Parameter Estimates

Other Blue Owl Capital Corp Analyses