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V-Lab

Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 13th, 2026

1 Day

18.56%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

20.25%

increased by 1.35%

1 Month

23.00%

increased by 4.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 10, 2026 at 11:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 18, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0103
2.53**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6724
58.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3207
28.44***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0617
2.00**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1954
3.77***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7698
10.92***

Persistence:

0.843

Half-life:

4 days