V-Lab
Blue Owl Capital Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
18.90%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
20.82%
increased by 1.28%
1 Month
23.62%
increased by 4.08%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 09:48 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 18, 2019 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 46 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0182 | 4.12*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6431 | 50.20*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.3387 | 26.40*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0679 | 2.03** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2133 | 3.95*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7497 | 10.14*** |
Persistence:
0.831
Half-life:
4 days
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